Inman News™
Created 2011-02-10 11:28
Sales of existing single-family homes and condominiums in the fourth quarter of 2010 rose from the third quarter in all but one state, though only one state saw an annual rise compared to fourth-quarter 2009, according to a National Association of Realtors report released today.
Existing-home sales in the U.S. rose 15.4 percent in the fourth quarter from the third quarter, to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.8 million. That's a 19.5 percent drop from fourth-quarter 2009, when the rate was 5.97 million -- a homebuyer tax credit-fueled rate NAR called "unsustainable." In 2010 overall, sales fell 4.8 percent, to an estimated 4.91 million, from 5.16 million in 2009.
The national median existing single-family home price in the fourth quarter of 2010 was essentially flat compared to the fourth quarter of 2009: $170,600.
Median prices in the fourth quarter of 2010 rose in 78 of 152 metropolitan areas across the country compared to the fourth quarter of 2009.
10 metro areas to see highest quarter-over-quarter median price jumps:
Metropolitan Area
|
Q4 2009 median price
|
Q4 2010 median price
|
% change
|
Elmira, N.Y.
|
$86,800
|
$101,100
|
16.5%
|
Pittsfield, Mass.
|
$173,100
|
$200,500
|
15.8%
|
Binghamton, N.Y.
|
$117,900
|
$136,300
|
15.6%
|
Burlington-South Burlington, Vt.
|
$236,600
|
$270,600
|
14.4%
|
Bloomington-Normal, Ill.
|
$146,700
|
$167,700
|
14.3%
|
Buffalo-Niagara Falls, N.Y.
|
$110,700
|
$126,500
|
14.3%
|
Erie, Pa.
|
$97,700
|
$110,300
|
12.9%
|
Peoria, Ill.
|
$111,900
|
$126,100
|
12.7%
|
Indianapolis, Ind.
|
$111,500
|
$124,300
|
11.5%
|
Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, Wis.
|
$188,400
|
$210,100
|
11.5%
|
Source: NAR
Median price rose the most quarter-over-quarter in the Northeast, up 2.3 percent to $240,400. Prices in the Midwest and South remained essentially flat at $139,200 and $152,400, respectively. The West was the only region to see a median price drop, -2.9 percent to $214,400.
When comparing 2009's median price to 2010's median price, metro areas in California stand out for their rate of appreciation:
Metro Area
|
2009 median price
|
2010 median price
|
% change
|
Akron, Ohio
|
$93,200
|
$108,900
|
16.8%
|
Elmira, N.Y.
|
$87,300
|
$101,000
|
15.7%
|
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, Calif.
|
$493,310
|
$567,900
|
15.1%
|
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, Calif.
|
$530,000
|
$602,000
|
13.6%
|
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, Calif.
|
$169,680
|
$187,000
|
10.2%
|
Erie, Pa.
|
$97,900
|
$107,700
|
10.0%
|
Burlington-South Burlington, Vt.
|
$241,800
|
$261,200
|
8.0%
|
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, Conn.
|
$379,200
|
$408,600
|
7.8%
|
Boston-Cambridge-Quincy, Mass.-N.H.
|
$332,600
|
$357,300
|
7.4%
|
San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos, Calif.
|
$359,500
|
$385,700
|
7.3%
|
Source: NAR
Lawrence Yun, NAR's chief economist, said in a statement that he was encouraged by the quarterly rise in sales.
"Home sales ... are helping to absorb the inventory, including many distressed properties. Even with foreclosures continuing to enter the inventory pipeline, they've been selling well and housing supplies have trended down," Yun stated. "A recovery to normalcy requires steady trimming of the inventories."
Yun projected about 150,000 to 200,000 jobs will be added to the economy this year from an expected 300,000 additional home sales in 2011, the report said.
"An improving housing market and job growth will go hand in hand. The housing recovery will mean faster job growth," Yun added.
Virginia was the only state to see a quarterly drop in sales, down 5.4 percent, and sales in Washington, D.C., remained unchanged from the third quarter.
Compared to fourth-quarter 2009, however, only Idaho saw a yearly rise in sales: up 7.3 percent. Some foreclosure-ridden states -- Florida, Arizona, Nevada and California -- saw the smallest drops in sales during that time. Distressed sales made up 34 percent of all sales in the fourth quarter, up only slightly from 32 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009.
10 states to see largest gains or smallest drops in sales from fourth quarter 2009 to fourth quarter 2010 (sales rates are seasonally adjusted, in thousands):
State
|
Q4 2009 sales rate
|
Q4 2010 sales rate
|
% change
|
Idaho
|
49.2
|
52.8
|
7.3%
|
Florida
|
435.2
|
416.8
|
-4.2%
|
Arizona
|
158.4
|
150.4
|
-5.1%
|
Wyoming
|
9.6
|
8.8
|
-8.3%
|
Nevada
|
120
|
108
|
-10%
|
Mississippi
|
47.6
|
42.8
|
-10.1%
|
California
|
526.4
|
464.8
|
-11.7%
|
Hawaii
|
25.2
|
22
|
-12.7%
|
Colorado
|
108.4
|
90.8
|
-16.2%
|
Vermont
|
14.8
|
12.4
|
-16.2%
|
Source: NAR
Idaho also saw the biggest jump in sales from the third quarter of 2010 to the fourth quarter of 2010:
State
|
Q3 2010 sales rate
|
Q4 2010 sales rate
|
% change
|
Idaho
|
26
|
52.8
|
103.1%
|
Vermont
|
8
|
12.4
|
55%
|
Minnesota
|
60.8
|
81.2
|
33.6%
|
Iowa
|
41.2
|
52.8
|
28.2%
|
North Dakota
|
9.2
|
11.6
|
26.1%
|
Oregon
|
44.4
|
56
|
26.1%
|
Utah
|
22
|
27.6
|
25.5%
|
Nevada
|
87.2
|
108
|
23.9%
|
Alaska
|
16.8
|
20.8
|
23.8%
|
Missouri
|
74.4
|
92
|
23.7%
|
Source: NAR
Idaho was at the top of a list of only seven states, and Washington, D.C., to see sales rise from 2009 to 2010:
State
|
2009 sales rate
|
2010 sales rate
|
% change
|
Idaho
|
33.8
|
38.9
|
15.1%
|
Hawaii
|
18.4
|
21
|
14.1%
|
Florida
|
357.8
|
396.5
|
10.8%
|
Washington, D.C.
|
8.4
|
8.8
|
4.8%
|
Maryland
|
72.5
|
74.4
|
2.6%
|
Washington
|
82.3
|
83.7
|
1.7%
|
Mississippi
|
41.9
|
42.1
|
0.5%
|
Oregon
|
55
|
55.1
|
0.2%
|
Alaska
|
22.4
|
22.4
|
0%
|
Vermont
|
11.3
|
11.3
|
0%
|
Source: NAR
Several Midwestern states saw the biggest drops in sales from the fourth quarter of 2009 to the fourth quarter of 2010.
10 states to see biggest drops in quarter-over-quarter sales:
State
|
Q4 2009 sales rate
|
Q4 2010 sales rate
|
% change
|
South Dakota
|
20.8
|
12.8
|
-38.5%
|
Minnesota
|
126
|
81.2
|
-35.6%
|
Pennsylvania
|
226.4
|
150.8
|
-33.4%
|
Kentucky
|
87.6
|
60
|
-31.5%
|
Nebraska
|
41.6
|
28.8
|
-30.8%
|
Indiana
|
124
|
88.4
|
-28.7%
|
Delaware
|
14
|
10
|
-28.6%
|
Oklahoma
|
89.6
|
64.4
|
-28.1%
|
North Dakota
|
16
|
11.6
|
-27.5%
|
Rhode Island
|
17.6
|
12.8
|
-27.3%
|
Source: NAR
The Midwest experienced the biggest estimated overall drop in sales in 2010 compared to 2009: 7.5 percent, to a rate of 1.08 million. The Northeast saw a drop of 4.8 percent, to 817,000. The West saw a decline of 4.7 percent, to 1.15 million. The South saw the smallest decrease, down 2.8 percent, to 1.86 million.
10 states to see biggest decreases in sales from 2009 to 2010:
State
|
2009 sales rate
|
2010 sales rate
|
% change
|
South Dakota
|
17.4
|
14.2
|
-18.4%
|
Minnesota
|
107.4
|
89.7
|
-16.5%
|
Delaware
|
12.6
|
10.9
|
-13.5%
|
Oklahoma
|
83.5
|
72.3
|
-13.4%
|
Rhode Island
|
15.4
|
13.6
|
-11.7%
|
Missouri
|
105.9
|
94.6
|
-10.7%
|
Michigan
|
167.1
|
149.6
|
-10.5%
|
Pennsylvania
|
176.5
|
160.3
|
-9.2%
|
Utah
|
31.1
|
28.5
|
-8.4%
|
Kansas
|
56.5
|
51.8
|
-8.3%
|
Source: NAR